The last Peilingwijzer of the year shows that Geert Wilders and his anti-Islam PVV is facing increasing competition from new nationalist party FvD led by Thierry Baudet. The FvD leader was also named politician of the year by EenVandaag on Tuesday.
Dutch people are voting in the parliamentary elections today. The last political polls before the election has the VVD in the lead, followed by the PVV. The CDA is very close on the PVV's heels in a solid third place, according to the final Peilingwijzer, which combines the data of the six largest polls in the Netherlands.
In the last weeks of polling, the VVD and CDA climbed strongly in the polls, while the PVV, PvdA and 50Plus showed drops in support. All the other parties trended relatively flat over the past weeks, with only very minor movements.
The diplomatic crisis between the Netherlands and Turkey had no immediate impact on the political polls one day before the Dutch parliamentary election. The latest Peilingwijzer does show an increase in support for the two leading parties in the polls, the VVD and PVV, but the increase was very minor.
With just a week before the parliamentary election, anti-Islam, populist party PVV continues to lose support in the polls. The PVV dropped to between 21 and 25 seats on Peilingwijzer, putting the party clearly behind the VVD, which is at between 24 and 28 seats.
Over the past weeks the VVD has remained relatively stable on the polls, climbing one seat compared to last week. Put the PVV has steadily been losing support on Peilingwijzer, which combines the data of six different poll for a more rounded view.
While it does not seem that the first televised election debate on RTL on Sunday had much affect on the polls, Maurice de Hond's latest poll does show left-leaning parties CDA and PvdA each gaining slightly more support and going up one seat. Right-wing PVV's support continues to dwindle slowly. Elderly party 50Plus took quite a blow this past week, losing almost half of its support.
Geert Wilders and his PVV is continuing to steadily lose support in the polls. In the Peilingwijzer published on Wednesday the PVV and the VVD are about equally large The PVV stands between 24 and 28 parliamentary seats, the VVD between 23 and 27.
Last week the PVV stood at between 25 and 29 seats. Since December the party lost six seats in the polls. The VVD has been on basically the same position for weeks.
The newest information on Peilingwijzer - a platform that brings the information of various polls together - has the PVV only barely larger than the VVD. Geert Wilders' PVV currently stands at between 25 and 29 seats, only two seats more that Mark Rutte's VVD - between 23 and 27 seats. Political scientist Tom Louwerse, creator of Peilingwijzer, told NOS that this is not due to the VVD gaining support, but rather the PVV losing ground.
The PVV lost 5 seats since December. "You can now see that decline to a greater or lesser extent at all polling agencies", Louwerse said to NOS.
According to the latest poll by Peilingwijzer, the race for the biggest party in the Tweede Kamer is currently a tie between the VVD and the PVV. This is the first big poll after the summer recess, during which Geert Wilders' PVV seemingly lost some ground.
Anti-Islam party PVV is losing popularity in the latest poll on Peilingwijzer. While Geert Wilders' party is still the largest party with between 29 and 33 virtual parliamentary seats, the party is now five seats lower than at its peak in January
There were no significant shifts in the Peilingwijzer (Community poll) in the past few days, despite the resignation of VVD officials Minister Ivo Opstelten and State Secretary Fred Teeven (Security and Justice). At this stage the PVV is in the lead.