Nationalist PVV, Labour fall in last poll before Dutch elections; VVD, CDA rise

Parliamentary election in the Netherlands, 15 Mar 2017
Parliamentary election in the Netherlands, 15 Mar 2017Photo: Zachary Newmark / NL Times

Dutch people are voting in the parliamentary elections today. The last political polls before the election has the VVD in the lead, followed by the PVV. The CDA is very close on the PVV's heels in a solid third place, according to the final Peilingwijzer, which combines the data of the six largest polls in the Netherlands.  

In the last weeks of polling, the VVD and CDA climbed strongly in the polls, while the PVV, PvdA and 50Plus showed drops in support. All the other parties trended relatively flat over the past weeks, with only very minor movements.

New parties in the Dutch election scene, FvD and DENK could finish strongly, with each maybe getting up to three seats in parliament. The Piraten Partij also has a real chance at a seat. And Artikel 1 could be a wild card.

Even if the PVV finishes as the biggest or second biggest party, most of the other parties have said that they won't work with the anti-Islam party. This means that the PVV will find forming a coalition particularly tough.

Centrist parties D66 and CDA could have a massive impact on the cabinet formation as they are poised to take 25 percent of the parliamentary seats between them.

The five left wing parties - PvdA, GroenLinks, SP, PvdD and DENK - could also team up for a third of the 150 parliamentary seats. 

Here follows a list of the parties and their projected number of seats, according to Peilingwijzer:

  • VVD 24 - 28
  • PVV 19 - 23
  • CDA 19 - 21
  • D66 17 - 19
  • GroenLinks 16 - 18
  • SP 14 - 16
  • PvdA 10 - 12
  • ChristenUnie 5 - 7
  • PvdD 4 - 6
  • 50Plus 3 - 5
  • SGP 2 - 4
  • DENK 1 - 3
  • FvD 1 - 3
  • VNL 0 - 1
  • Piraten Partij 0 - 1