PVV decidedly the biggest party 3 weeks before election; Some gains for D66, JA21

Three weeks before the parliamentary election on October 29, the far-right PVV is decidedly the biggest party in the polls. There has been little movement among the largest parties in recent weeks, though D66 and JA21 booked some gains, according to the Peilingwijzer, a weighted average of polls by Ipsos I&O and Verian/EenVandaag, NOS reports.

The Peilingwijzer has Geert Wilders’ PVV at between 31 and 35 seats. That is about four fewer seats than the 37 seats that the far-right party currently holds in parliament, but still significantly more than the CDA (22 to 26 seats) and GroenLinks-PvdA (21-25). The CDA currently stands at only 5 seats in the Tweede Kamer, the lower house of the Dutch parliament. GroenLinks-PvdA has 25.

In a distant fourth place, the VVD stands at 12 to 16 seats, down from 24 seats in the current parliament. Dilan Yeşilgöz’s Liberals are now at the same level as the D66 and JA21. Rob Jetten’s D66, which holds 9 seats in the current Kamer, has grown to 12 to 15 seats in recent months. And Joost Eerdmans will likely soon not be the sole JA21 parliamentarian any longer, with 9 to 13 seats in the polls.

The other parties have shown little movement. 50Plus has a chance of returning to the Tweede Kamer, standing at 0 to 2 seats. NSC seems likely to lose all 20 of its current seats and disappear from parliament only one election after its founding.