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Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute
Saturday, 17 May 2025 - 18:55

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After record sunny spring, rain showers expected to increase in the Netherlands

The Netherlands has experienced a record amount of sunshine this spring, but meteorologists forecast a change in weather patterns toward the end of the meteorological spring. After weeks of mostly dry and sunny days, rain showers are expected to become more frequent as the month progresses, potentially ending the extended dry spell, weeronline forecasts.

Over the next few days, conditions will remain mostly dry and fairly sunny, with occasional localized showers possible. Temperatures will hover between 16 and 19 degrees along the coastal areas and rise to between 20 and 23 degrees inland. These temperatures represent average seasonal levels rather than summer warmth, but still provide comfortable weather for outdoor activities.

Sun intensity will be moderate, with UV levels reaching 5 or 6 between noon and 3 p.m., meaning unprotected skin could burn within 15 to 30 minutes. Even during the hours before and after this peak period, sun exposure can cause burns, especially since the northern winds keep the air cool and the sensation of warmth low. It is important to note that UV radiation levels are independent of air temperature.

Starting the last weekend of May, wind directions are expected to shift from northerly to between southwest and northwest. This change will bring an end to the stable and dry weather, replacing it with more variable conditions. Showers will appear more frequently but will alternate with sunny periods.

The strength of these showers will depend heavily on the wind direction. When the wind comes from the southwest, showers tend to be heavier due to the arrival of warmer, more humid air masses that fuel the storms. Conversely, northwest winds typically bring lighter rainfall.

Temperatures during this transitional period are forecast to stay close to the long-term average, fluctuating between 17 and 20 degrees. However, if the wind shifts temporarily to a southerly direction, daytime highs could reach up to 25 degrees, bringing brief summer-like conditions.

June is expected to start with a continuation of variable weather, including regular rain showers as the west to southwest winds prevail. Current weather models suggest that June could be wetter than average. Nonetheless, dry spells with sunshine will still likely dominate since most rain is likely to fall in short bursts rather than prolonged downpours.

After early June, weather forecasts become increasingly uncertain. Some models indicate a greater likelihood of warm and dry summer weather, but this remains speculative at this stage.

Meanwhile, June will also mark the peak of the grass pollen season, which poses challenges for those with hay fever. Rain showers can temporarily alleviate pollen levels by washing allergens out of the air. However, the moisture can also stimulate grass growth, potentially increasing pollen production once dry, sunny weather returns. Only areas that remain dry throughout the month may see reduced pollen levels as grasses wither.

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